For thousands of years people thought that all swans were white. Then that was changed forever when the first black swan was observed.
Black swan events are unpredicted and unexpected yet have an enormous impact on the world. Is the history of the world and human society determined mainly by the ordinary and the predictable or is it determined by the outliers, the random and unpredictable events, the black swans.
Wars, the rise of religions, human inventions, changes in human thought; all can be seen as a succession of black swans. What black swans do you see in history? And what black swans do you expect in the future?
Does it frighten you to think that the future is unknown and uncontrolled? Or do you see the theory of black swans as a good explanation for what happens in the world?
Come and predict the unpredictable at GeekSpeak.
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